A general framework for EBM implementation - Mike Fogarty
Science Framework forEcosystem-Based Management
Objective: Define general strategy for an ecosystem approach to management focusing on diverse ecosystem services,
societal preferences, and associated tradeoffs
Illustrate with real world example(s)
The Problem
Societal preferences imperfectly known
-- Specify Utility Functions
Ecosystem processes incompletely known
Data/Model limitations for some or all components
-- Adopt risk assessment framework
-- Adopt broad definition of model
Approach
Identify Key Ecosystem Services
Define Objectives for Management unit
Specify Relationships among Services, State Variables, Drivers, and Control Variables
-- Dynamical Models
-- Static Models
-- Empirical Predictors
-- Indicators
Evaluate Policy Options
Define Objectives for Management
Ecosystem Services
Locally Caught Seafood (commercial)
Sport Fishing
Ecotourism
Diving
Shoreline Protection / Water Quality
Drivers
Shoreline Development
Demand for Local Seafood
Tourist Demand
Diver Demand
Recreational Demand
Real World Example?
Develop Ecosystem-Based Management Plan for Monterey Bay National Marine
Sanctuary
Data
Availability
and Quality
High for
MBNMS
MBARI
Models Broadly
Defined
where the wi are (imperfectly known) weighting coefficients,
the Vi are the values associated with different ecosystem
services (a function of a valuation coefficient vi and a set of
state variables Xi, driver variables Yj and control variables Ck
Subject to:
We’ve targeted:
Other (Exogenous) Drivers [e.g. Climate Forcing (ENSO)]
Kelp
Rockfish Biomass
Otters
Rockfish
Harvest
Shoreline
Protection
Abalone
Harvest
Shoreline Development
Diving
Ecotourism
Urchin Biomass
Abalone Biomass
Driver
Pressure
State
Impact
Response
Kelp
Forest Example
Shoreline
Development
Increased
Turbidity
Canopy
Cover
Tourism/Diving
Species Abundance
SL Protection
Change
Land use
Ecosystem
Indicators
Ecological
Models
Forecasts &
Risk Assessments
Management
Evaluation
Identify choice that is societally relevant with sufficient
understanding/data to allow reasonable evaluation of
policy alternatives
Phytoplankton
Kelp
Microzooplankton
Macrozooplankton
Abalone/Urchin
Other Benthos
Gelatinous
Zooplankton
Rockfish
Otters
Rockfish Harvest
Comm/Rec
Kelp Harvest
Comm
Abalone/Urchin
Harvest
Comm/Rec/Dive
Shoreline Development
Nonconsumptive Use
Diving/ecotourism
Apex Predators
?
Science Framework forEcosystem-Based Management
Objective: Define general strategy for an ecosystem approach to management focusing on diverse ecosystem services,
societal preferences, and associated tradeoffs
Illustrate with real world example(s)
The Problem
Societal preferences imperfectly known
-- Specify Utility Functions
Ecosystem processes incompletely known
Data/Model limitations for some or all components
-- Adopt risk assessment framework
-- Adopt broad definition of model
Approach
Identify Key Ecosystem Services
Define Objectives for Management unit
Specify Relationships among Services, State Variables, Drivers, and Control Variables
-- Dynamical Models
-- Static Models
-- Empirical Predictors
-- Indicators
Evaluate Policy Options
Define Objectives for Management
Ecosystem Services
Locally Caught Seafood (commercial)
Sport Fishing
Ecotourism
Diving
Shoreline Protection / Water Quality
Drivers
Shoreline Development
Demand for Local Seafood
Tourist Demand
Diver Demand
Recreational Demand
Real World Example?
Develop Ecosystem-Based Management Plan for Monterey Bay National Marine
Sanctuary
Data
Availability
and Quality
High for
MBNMS
MBARI
Science Framework forEcosystem-Based Management
Objective: Define general strategy for an ecosystem approach to management focusing on diverse ecosystem services,
societal preferences, and associated tradeoffs
Illustrate with real world example(s)
The Problem
Societal preferences imperfectly known
-- Specify Utility Functions
Ecosystem processes incompletely known
Data/Model limitations for some or all components
-- Adopt risk assessment framework
-- Adopt broad definition of model
Approach
Identify Key Ecosystem Services
Define Objectives for Management unit
Specify Relationships among Services, State Variables, Drivers, and Control Variables
-- Dynamical Models
-- Static Models
-- Empirical Predictors
-- Indicators
Evaluate Policy Options
Define Objectives for Management
Ecosystem Services
Locally Caught Seafood (commercial)
Sport Fishing
Ecotourism
Diving
Shoreline Protection / Water Quality
Drivers
Shoreline Development
Demand for Local Seafood
Tourist Demand
Diver Demand
Recreational Demand
Real World Example?
Develop Ecosystem-Based Management Plan for Monterey Bay National Marine
Sanctuary
Data
Availability
and Quality
High for
MBNMS
MBARI
Science Framework forEcosystem-Based Management
Objective: Define general strategy for an ecosystem approach to management focusing on diverse ecosystem services,
societal preferences, and associated tradeoffs
Illustrate with real world example(s)
The Problem
Societal preferences imperfectly known
-- Specify Utility Functions
Ecosystem processes incompletely known
Data/Model limitations for some or all components
-- Adopt risk assessment framework
-- Adopt broad definition of model
Approach
Identify Key Ecosystem Services
Define Objectives for Management unit
Specify Relationships among Services, State Variables, Drivers, and Control Variables
-- Dynamical Models
-- Static Models
-- Empirical Predictors
-- Indicators
Evaluate Policy Options
Define Objectives for Management
Ecosystem Services
Locally Caught Seafood (commercial)
Sport Fishing
Ecotourism
Diving
Shoreline Protection / Water Quality
Drivers
Shoreline Development
Demand for Local Seafood
Tourist Demand
Diver Demand
Recreational Demand
Real World Example?
Develop Ecosystem-Based Management Plan for Monterey Bay National Marine
Sanctuary
Data
Availability
and Quality
High for
MBNMS
MBARI
Conclusion
Sufficient data/understanding available for MBNMS to warrant consideration for
test case
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Objective: Define general strategy for an ecosystem approach to management focusing on diverse ecosystem services,
societal preferences, and associated tradeoffs
Illustrate with real world example(s)
The Problem
Societal preferences imperfectly known
-- Specify Utility Functions
Ecosystem processes incompletely known
Data/Model limitations for some or all components
-- Adopt risk assessment framework
-- Adopt broad definition of model
Approach
Identify Key Ecosystem Services
Define Objectives for Management unit
Specify Relationships among Services, State Variables, Drivers, and Control Variables
-- Dynamical Models
-- Static Models
-- Empirical Predictors
-- Indicators
Evaluate Policy Options
Define Objectives for Management
Ecosystem Services
Locally Caught Seafood (commercial)
Sport Fishing
Ecotourism
Diving
Shoreline Protection / Water Quality
Drivers
Shoreline Development
Demand for Local Seafood
Tourist Demand
Diver Demand
Recreational Demand
Real World Example?
Develop Ecosystem-Based Management Plan for Monterey Bay National Marine
Sanctuary
Data
Availability
and Quality
High for
MBNMS
MBARI
Models Broadly
Defined
where the wi are (imperfectly known) weighting coefficients,
the Vi are the values associated with different ecosystem
services (a function of a valuation coefficient vi and a set of
state variables Xi, driver variables Yj and control variables Ck
Subject to:
We’ve targeted:
Other (Exogenous) Drivers [e.g. Climate Forcing (ENSO)]
Kelp
Rockfish Biomass
Otters
Rockfish
Harvest
Shoreline
Protection
Abalone
Harvest
Shoreline Development
Diving
Ecotourism
Urchin Biomass
Abalone Biomass
Driver
Pressure
State
Impact
Response
Kelp
Forest Example
Shoreline
Development
Increased
Turbidity
Canopy
Cover
Tourism/Diving
Species Abundance
SL Protection
Change
Land use
Ecosystem
Indicators
Ecological
Models
Forecasts &
Risk Assessments
Management
Evaluation
Identify choice that is societally relevant with sufficient
understanding/data to allow reasonable evaluation of
policy alternatives
Phytoplankton
Kelp
Microzooplankton
Macrozooplankton
Abalone/Urchin
Other Benthos
Gelatinous
Zooplankton
Rockfish
Otters
Rockfish Harvest
Comm/Rec
Kelp Harvest
Comm
Abalone/Urchin
Harvest
Comm/Rec/Dive
Shoreline Development
Nonconsumptive Use
Diving/ecotourism
Apex Predators
?
Science Framework forEcosystem-Based Management
Objective: Define general strategy for an ecosystem approach to management focusing on diverse ecosystem services,
societal preferences, and associated tradeoffs
Illustrate with real world example(s)
The Problem
Societal preferences imperfectly known
-- Specify Utility Functions
Ecosystem processes incompletely known
Data/Model limitations for some or all components
-- Adopt risk assessment framework
-- Adopt broad definition of model
Approach
Identify Key Ecosystem Services
Define Objectives for Management unit
Specify Relationships among Services, State Variables, Drivers, and Control Variables
-- Dynamical Models
-- Static Models
-- Empirical Predictors
-- Indicators
Evaluate Policy Options
Define Objectives for Management
Ecosystem Services
Locally Caught Seafood (commercial)
Sport Fishing
Ecotourism
Diving
Shoreline Protection / Water Quality
Drivers
Shoreline Development
Demand for Local Seafood
Tourist Demand
Diver Demand
Recreational Demand
Real World Example?
Develop Ecosystem-Based Management Plan for Monterey Bay National Marine
Sanctuary
Data
Availability
and Quality
High for
MBNMS
MBARI
Science Framework forEcosystem-Based Management
Objective: Define general strategy for an ecosystem approach to management focusing on diverse ecosystem services,
societal preferences, and associated tradeoffs
Illustrate with real world example(s)
The Problem
Societal preferences imperfectly known
-- Specify Utility Functions
Ecosystem processes incompletely known
Data/Model limitations for some or all components
-- Adopt risk assessment framework
-- Adopt broad definition of model
Approach
Identify Key Ecosystem Services
Define Objectives for Management unit
Specify Relationships among Services, State Variables, Drivers, and Control Variables
-- Dynamical Models
-- Static Models
-- Empirical Predictors
-- Indicators
Evaluate Policy Options
Define Objectives for Management
Ecosystem Services
Locally Caught Seafood (commercial)
Sport Fishing
Ecotourism
Diving
Shoreline Protection / Water Quality
Drivers
Shoreline Development
Demand for Local Seafood
Tourist Demand
Diver Demand
Recreational Demand
Real World Example?
Develop Ecosystem-Based Management Plan for Monterey Bay National Marine
Sanctuary
Data
Availability
and Quality
High for
MBNMS
MBARI
Science Framework forEcosystem-Based Management
Objective: Define general strategy for an ecosystem approach to management focusing on diverse ecosystem services,
societal preferences, and associated tradeoffs
Illustrate with real world example(s)
The Problem
Societal preferences imperfectly known
-- Specify Utility Functions
Ecosystem processes incompletely known
Data/Model limitations for some or all components
-- Adopt risk assessment framework
-- Adopt broad definition of model
Approach
Identify Key Ecosystem Services
Define Objectives for Management unit
Specify Relationships among Services, State Variables, Drivers, and Control Variables
-- Dynamical Models
-- Static Models
-- Empirical Predictors
-- Indicators
Evaluate Policy Options
Define Objectives for Management
Ecosystem Services
Locally Caught Seafood (commercial)
Sport Fishing
Ecotourism
Diving
Shoreline Protection / Water Quality
Drivers
Shoreline Development
Demand for Local Seafood
Tourist Demand
Diver Demand
Recreational Demand
Real World Example?
Develop Ecosystem-Based Management Plan for Monterey Bay National Marine
Sanctuary
Data
Availability
and Quality
High for
MBNMS
MBARI
Conclusion
Sufficient data/understanding available for MBNMS to warrant consideration for
test case
Created with pptHtml